Explainer

How many calories to lose weight

The short answer is fewer than you burn. The useful answer is how many fewer, why the number you were given probably overpromises, and where the floor is.

Start from what you burn

A deficit is defined against your maintenance, so you need that first. The TDEE calculator will estimate it from your height, weight, age, sex and activity — bearing in mind, as that page says, that the estimate is a population average and yours may sit a few hundred calories either side.

Once you have it, the deficit is a percentage of it rather than a fixed number, because a 500 kcal cut means something very different to someone maintaining at 3,000 than to someone maintaining at 1,700.

DeficitRoughlySuits
10% below maintenance0.25–0.5 lb / weekAlready lean, or protecting training quality
15–20%0.5–1 lb / weekMost people, most of the time
25%1–1.5 lb / weekHigher starting body fat, short stretches
Over 25%Faster, brieflyRarely worth it — see below

A useful sanity check is 0.5–1% of body weight per week. For a 200 lb person that is 1–2 lb; for a 130 lb person it is 0.65–1.3 lb. The same percentage, very different absolute numbers — which is exactly why two people should not compare their weekly results.

The 3,500-calorie rule, and why it overpromises

You will have met this one: a pound of fat is about 3,500 kcal, so a 500 kcal daily deficit loses a pound a week. The energy content is roughly right. The prediction that follows it is not.

It assumes your expenditure stays fixed while you shrink, and it does not. As you lose weight there is less of you to move and to maintain, so maintenance falls. Sustained dieting also tends to reduce spontaneous movement — you fidget less, walk a little slower, take the stairs less often — without any conscious decision. Both effects erode the deficit you set.

The practical consequence: a deficit that produced a pound a week in month one produces noticeably less by month three, at the same intake. This is not failure and it is not a broken metabolism. It is the arithmetic changing underneath a plan that was written once and never revisited. It is also precisely the case that adaptive targets exist to handle.

How low is too low

Aggressive deficits are tempting and mostly counterproductive. What tends to go wrong:

  • More of the loss comes from muscle, especially without enough protein and resistance training. You end up lighter but not the shape you were aiming for.
  • Adherence collapses. The best deficit is not the largest one, it is the largest one you will still be doing in three months.
  • Training quality falls, which removes the main signal telling your body to keep the muscle.
  • Micronutrients get hard. Below roughly 1,200 kcal it is genuinely difficult to cover requirements from food.

Commonly cited floors are around 1,200 kcal a day for women and 1,500 for men, and those are floors rather than targets. Very low calorie diets below that exist as a clinical tool used under medical supervision, which is a different thing from a decision you make on your own.

Reading the results without panicking

Two weeks in, the scale will have done something confusing. It always does. Water, sodium, glycogen and your cycle move daily weight by several pounds, which is often larger than a fortnight of genuine fat loss — so judge the smoothed trend, over weeks, not any single morning.

If the trend genuinely has not moved in two to three weeks, check consistency of logging before you cut calories. A gradual drift in how carefully you measure looks exactly like a stall and is far more common than a metabolic one.

A worked example

Maintenance estimated at 2,400 kcal. A 20% deficit is 1,920 — call it 1,900. Body weight 180 lb, so protein at roughly 1.8–2.2 g/kg lands around 150–180 g. That leaves about 1,200 kcal for carbs and fat, split however you actually enjoy eating.

Three weeks later, the trend has fallen about 2.5 lb — a shade under a pound a week, which is on target. Two more weeks and it flattens: expenditure has come down with the weight. The fix is a modest trim, roughly 100 kcal, not a dramatic cut. That cycle — measure, adjust a little, continue — is the whole method.

Common questions

Is a 1,200-calorie diet safe?
It is often cited as a floor rather than a goal, and for many people it is unnecessarily low — it makes covering micronutrients hard and adherence harder. If your maintenance is high enough, a 15–20% deficit will be well above it. Anyone considering going below should be doing it with clinical supervision.
Why have I stopped losing weight?
Most often one of three things: expenditure has fallen as you lost weight, logging accuracy has quietly drifted, or you are looking at daily scale readings instead of the trend. Check them in that order before cutting calories.
Do I need to eat back exercise calories?
It depends how your maintenance figure was built. If your activity level already assumes your training, eating them back double-counts. Systems that measure expenditure from your actual results sidestep the question entirely, because the training is already reflected in the result.
Is it better to lose weight fast or slow?
Moderate wins for almost everyone. Faster loss costs more muscle, is harder to adhere to, and the weight that comes back tends to come back regardless of how quickly it left.
Can my partner and I use the same calorie target?
Almost certainly not — two adults in one household can differ by 800 kcal at maintenance before goals are even considered. See tracking as a couple.

General wellness information, not medical advice — see our health disclaimer. Talk to a clinician before making significant dietary changes.